Actual result
D+5.7
Final polls said
D+2.0
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauer, Lalley, Victoria | D+4.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | EVEN | 5.7 | ✗ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | 1998-10-25 | 300 | EVEN | 6 |
| Lauer, Lalley, Victoria | 1998-10-17 | 368 | D+4.0 | 2 |