Actual result
D+32.8
Final polls said
D+32.3
3 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quinnipiac University | D+37.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+28.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | University of Connecticut | D+40.0 | 7.2 | ✓ |
Polls (5)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University | 1998-10-30 | 491 | D+37.0 | 4 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-10-26 | 633 | D+28.0 | 5 |
| Quinnipiac University | 1998-10-16 | 1247 | D+32.0 | 1 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-10-11 | 629 | D+24.0 | 9 |
| University of Connecticut | 1998-10-08 | 502 | D+40.0 | 7 |