Actual result
R+7.2
Final polls said
R+16.4
5 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+13.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Georgia Survey Research Center | R+17.0 | 9.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+18.0 | 10.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Marketing Workshop | R+18.0 | 10.8 | ✓ |
Polls (8)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 1998-10-30 | 1408 | R+18.0 | 11 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-10-27 | 809 | R+13.0 | 6 |
| Marketing Workshop | 1998-10-26 | 709 | R+18.0 | 11 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 1998-10-20 | 1174 | R+16.0 | 9 |
| University of Georgia Survey Research Center | 1998-10-15 | 500 | R+17.0 | 10 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-10-05 | 807 | R+16.0 | 9 |
| Marketing Workshop | 1998-09-28 | 616 | R+22.0 | 15 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-09-07 | 829 | R+13.0 | 6 |