VotePredictor
all races

Georgia Senate

Jon Ossoff (D) vs Mike Collins (R)

Forecast — win probability
Jon Ossoff (D)
72%
(R) Mike Collins
28%
Lean D · model margin D+6.0

Why this forecast

This forecast is poll-driven: 7 polls of the race so far. After weighting them by recency and correcting each pollster's house effect, the model (TabPFN) predicts D+6.0 — a 72% Democratic win.

Forecast over time

The model's win probability for each party, rerun from the polls available on each date. Dashed line = even odds.

0255075100AprMayJunJul28% R72% D
Democrats 72% Republicans 28%

Latest news

Jon Ossoff (D)
Buddy Carter (R)

Headlines via NewsAPI, refreshed daily.

Polls (7)

PollsterDatenPoll
RealClearPolitics[91]2026-07-01D+6.0
Wick2026-06-301175D+3.8
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research2026-06-271002D+13.0
Race to the WH[58]2026-04-09D+5.8
Echelon Insights2026-04-09407D+7.0
Emerson College2026-03-021000D+4.4
RealClearPolitics[91]2026-03-02D+2.8