Georgia Governor
Rick Jackson (R) is favored to win the 2026 Georgia Governor race — about a 73% chance, winning by about 3 points in the projection, after the lead recently flipped. Updated daily from 7 polls.
How the odds moved
VotePredictor Elections' win probability for each party, rerun from the polls available on each date — hover the chart to read any day. The dashed line is even odds.
What the markets say
Chance of a Democratic winMarket prices are shown for comparison and are never an input to the forecast — a 2024 test found blending Polymarket in made the model's calls measurably worse. Where the two disagree, one of them is wrong, and the track record is the only way to find out which.
Why this forecast
This forecast is poll-driven: 7 polls of the race so far. After weighting them by recency and correcting each pollster's house effect, the model (TabPFN) predicts R+2.9 — a 73% Republican win.
Latest news
Jackson vs. Bottoms: 3 Biggest Takeaways From The Peach State DebateBy REBECCA BUIS, The Daily Signal | October 07, 2026 Affordability, health care, and technology: These were three main issues that former Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms and health care executive Rick Jackson were faced with during Tuesday night’s gubernatorial de…
Biztoc.com · Yesterday
Obama Endorses Keisha Lance Bottoms in Georgia: What Governor Polls ShowFormer President Barack Obama’s endorsement of Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms in the Georgia gubernatorial race follows weeks of tightening polls in the battleground state. The Georgia governor’s race is expected to be among the closest of the midterms, and po…
Biztoc.com · Yesterday
Georgia governor's debate highlights voters's top concernsWhile much of the focus this midterm season is on congressional races, there are also 36 states across the country holding elections for governor. One of those is Georgia, a purple state where the former Democratic mayor of Atlanta, Keisha Lance Bottoms, and …
Biztoc.com · October 7, 2026
Georgia governor's debate highlights voters' top concernsWhile much of the focus this midterm season is on congressional races, there are also 36 states across the country holding elections for governor. One of those is Georgia, a purple state where the former Democratic mayor of Atlanta, Keisha Lance Bottoms, and …
PBS · October 7, 2026- Georgia governor candidates spar over the economy and Trump in lone debate - NBC News
Georgia governor candidates spar over the economy and Trump in lone debateNBC News Recap of Georgia governor’s debate between Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick JacksonThe Atlanta Journal-Constitution Georgia governor debate: Bottoms, Jackson meet in single town h…
Slashdot.org · October 7, 2026
- Jackson vs. Bottoms: 3 Biggest Takeaways From The Peach State Debate
By REBECCA BUIS, The Daily Signal | October 07, 2026 Affordability, health care, and technology: These were three main issues that former Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms and health care executive Rick Jackson were faced with during Tuesday night’s gubernatorial de…
Biztoc.com · Yesterday - Georgia governor's debate highlights voters's top concerns
While much of the focus this midterm season is on congressional races, there are also 36 states across the country holding elections for governor. One of those is Georgia, a purple state where the former Democratic mayor of Atlanta, Keisha Lance Bottoms, and …
Biztoc.com · October 7, 2026 - Georgia governor's debate highlights voters' top concerns
While much of the focus this midterm season is on congressional races, there are also 36 states across the country holding elections for governor. One of those is Georgia, a purple state where the former Democratic mayor of Atlanta, Keisha Lance Bottoms, and …
PBS · October 7, 2026 
Democrats Plan To Plow Through GOP Money Wall In Georgia Governor RaceFormer Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms, the Democratic nominee, is neck and neck with GOP billionaire healthcare executive Rick Jackson.
HuffPost · October 7, 2026
Georgia governor candidates spar on the economy and Trump in lone debateDemocrat Keisha Lance Bottoms and Republican Rick Jackson clashed Tuesday night during their only scheduled debate of this fall’s race for governor in Georgia.
NBC News · October 7, 2026
Headlines via NewsAPI, refreshed daily.
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstFrequently asked questions
Who is winning the 2026 Georgia Governor race?
VotePredictor's model favors Rick Jackson (R), with roughly a 73% chance of winning and a projected margin of R+2.9.
What do the polls say in the Georgia Governor race?
There are 7 polls of this race. The most recent, from Wedgewood Polls (2026-10-03), showed R+2.0. VotePredictor's poll-weighted projection is R+2.9.
Who are the candidates in the 2026 Georgia Governor race?
Keisha Lance Bottoms is the Democratic candidate; Rick Jackson is the Republican.
When is the 2026 Georgia Governor election?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026. VotePredictor refreshes this forecast every day until then.
Has the 2026 Georgia Governor forecast changed recently?
Yes — over the polls collected so far, the lead has changed hands — it now favors Rick Jackson (R) at 73%. The chart above tracks the full trajectory.
How does VotePredictor forecast the Georgia Governor race?
It is a poll-driven model. Recent polls are weighted by recency and adjusted for each pollster's historical house effect, then a machine-learning model (TabPFN) trained on U.S. races from 1998–2025 turns them into a projected margin and win probability.