Georgia Governor
Rick Jackson (R) is favored to win the 2026 Georgia Governor race — about a 73% chance, winning by about 3 points in the projection, after the lead recently flipped. Updated daily from 7 polls.
How the odds moved
VotePredictor Elections' win probability for each party, rerun from the polls available on each date — hover the chart to read any day. The dashed line is even odds.
What the markets say
Chance of a Democratic winMarket prices are shown for comparison and are never an input to the forecast — a 2024 test found blending Polymarket in made the model's calls measurably worse. Where the two disagree, one of them is wrong, and the track record is the only way to find out which.
Why this forecast
This forecast is poll-driven: 7 polls of the race so far. After weighting them by recency and correcting each pollster's house effect, the model (TabPFN) predicts R+2.9 — a 73% Republican win.
Latest news
GOP governor candidate skips debate against former Biden advisor, replaced by empty podiumGeorgia Republican gubernatorial candidate Rick Jackson did not attend a debate, leaving Democratic rival Keisha Lance Bottoms next to an empty podium at the event.
Fox News · October 13, 2026
Democrat ‘Debates’ Empty Podium After Republican Is No-Show for Georgia Gov DebateKeisha Lance Bottoms, the former mayor of Atlanta and the Democratic nominee for Georgia governor, debated an empty podium Monday evening after her GOP opponent, healthcare CEO Rick Jackson, failed to show up. The post Democrat ‘Debates’ Empty Podium After R…
Mediaite · October 13, 2026
Keisha Lance Bottoms Debates Alone in Unusual Georgia Governor ShowdownGeorgia Democratic gubernatorial nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms took the debate stage Monday without her Republican opponent, standing beside an empty podium as she answered questions on the eve of early voting in the Peach State. “Rick Jackson is the first gub…
Biztoc.com · October 13, 2026
Rick Jackson Didn’t Show Up for Gubernatorial Debate“Standing beside an empty lectern, Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms opened Monday’s debate by accusing Republican Rick Jackson of ducking scrutiny by skipping the showdown,” the Atlanta Journal-Consitution reports. Said Bottoms: “He’d rather hide behind his bill…
Politicalwire.com · October 13, 2026
WATCH LIVE: At Georgia governor debate, Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms set to answer questions soloGeorgia Democratic gubernatorial nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms is set to take the debate stage Monday without her Republican opponent.
Biztoc.com · October 12, 2026
- GOP governor candidate skips debate against former Biden advisor, replaced by empty podium
Georgia Republican gubernatorial candidate Rick Jackson did not attend a debate, leaving Democratic rival Keisha Lance Bottoms next to an empty podium at the event.
Fox News · October 13, 2026 - Democrat ‘Debates’ Empty Podium After Republican Is No-Show for Georgia Gov Debate
Keisha Lance Bottoms, the former mayor of Atlanta and the Democratic nominee for Georgia governor, debated an empty podium Monday evening after her GOP opponent, healthcare CEO Rick Jackson, failed to show up. The post Democrat ‘Debates’ Empty Podium After R…
Mediaite · October 13, 2026 - Keisha Lance Bottoms Debates Alone in Unusual Georgia Governor Showdown
Georgia Democratic gubernatorial nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms took the debate stage Monday without her Republican opponent, standing beside an empty podium as she answered questions on the eve of early voting in the Peach State. “Rick Jackson is the first gub…
Biztoc.com · October 13, 2026 - Rick Jackson Didn’t Show Up for Gubernatorial Debate
“Standing beside an empty lectern, Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms opened Monday’s debate by accusing Republican Rick Jackson of ducking scrutiny by skipping the showdown,” the Atlanta Journal-Consitution reports. Said Bottoms: “He’d rather hide behind his bill…
Politicalwire.com · October 13, 2026 
Jackson vs. Bottoms: 3 Biggest Takeaways From The Peach State DebateBy REBECCA BUIS, The Daily Signal | October 07, 2026 Affordability, health care, and technology: These were three main issues that former Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms and health care executive Rick Jackson were faced with during Tuesday night’s gubernatorial de…
Biztoc.com · October 8, 2026
Headlines via NewsAPI, refreshed daily.
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstFrequently asked questions
Who is winning the 2026 Georgia Governor race?
VotePredictor's model favors Rick Jackson (R), with roughly a 73% chance of winning and a projected margin of R+2.9.
What do the polls say in the Georgia Governor race?
There are 7 polls of this race. The most recent, from Wedgewood Polls (2026-10-03), showed R+2.0. VotePredictor's poll-weighted projection is R+2.9.
Who are the candidates in the 2026 Georgia Governor race?
Keisha Lance Bottoms is the Democratic candidate; Rick Jackson is the Republican.
When is the 2026 Georgia Governor election?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026. VotePredictor refreshes this forecast every day until then.
Has the 2026 Georgia Governor forecast changed recently?
Yes — over the polls collected so far, the lead has changed hands — it now favors Rick Jackson (R) at 73%. The chart above tracks the full trajectory.
How does VotePredictor forecast the Georgia Governor race?
It is a poll-driven model. Recent polls are weighted by recency and adjusted for each pollster's historical house effect, then a machine-learning model (TabPFN) trained on U.S. races from 1998–2025 turns them into a projected margin and win probability.