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Toss-up · 1998 Senate
Illinois Senate
In the 1998 Illinois Senate race, Peter G. Fitzgerald (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+2.9
Final polls said
R+11.9
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+8.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | D+3.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 3 | Richard Day Research | R+10.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | KRC Research | R+10.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Market Shares Corp. | R+10.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | University of Illinois at Chicago | R+17.0 | 14.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | WCIA-TV | R+17.0 | 14.1 | ✓ |
| 8 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+19.0 | 16.1 | ✓ |
| 9 | Illinois Wesleyan University Department of Political Science | R+22.0 | 19.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
16 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-3016
Zogby Analytics1998-10-286
Richard Day Research1998-10-267
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-255
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-2011
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 Illinois Senate race?
Peter G. Fitzgerald (R) won, by about 2.9 points (R+2.9).
When was the 1998 Illinois Senate election held?
It was held in November 1998.