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Toss-up · 1998 Senate
Illinois Senate
In the 1998 Illinois Senate race, Peter G. Fitzgerald (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+2.9
Final polls said
R+11.9
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+8.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | D+3.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 3 | Richard Day Research | R+10.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | KRC Research | R+10.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Market Shares Corp. | R+10.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | University of Illinois at Chicago | R+17.0 | 14.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | WCIA-TV | R+17.0 | 14.1 | ✓ |
| 8 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+19.0 | 16.1 | ✓ |
| 9 | Illinois Wesleyan University Department of Political Science | R+22.0 | 19.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
16 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-3016
Zogby Analytics1998-10-286
Richard Day Research1998-10-267
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-255
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-2011
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 Illinois Senate race?
Peter G. Fitzgerald (R) won, by about 2.9 points (R+2.9).
When was the 1998 Illinois Senate election held?
It was held in November 1998.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.