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Toss-up · 1998 Senate
Indiana Senate
In the 1998 Indiana Senate race, Evan Bayh (D) won by about 29 points.
Actual result
D+28.9
Final polls said
D+30.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+31.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+25.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-302
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-264
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-207
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-0611
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-09-214
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 Indiana Senate race?
Evan Bayh (D) won, by about 28.9 points (D+28.9).
When was the 1998 Indiana Senate election held?
It was held in November 1998.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.