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Toss-up · 1998 Senate
Kentucky Senate
In the 1998 Kentucky Senate race, Jim Bunning (R) won by less than a point.
Actual result
R+0.6
Final polls said
EVEN
4 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+1.0 | 1.6 | ✗ |
| 2 | Louisville Courier-Journal | D+1.0 | 1.6 | ✗ |
| 3 | TMR Research | D+5.0 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | R+7.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Baselice & Associates | R+8.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA1998-11-016
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-262
Louisville Courier-Journal1998-10-222
TMR Research1998-10-186
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-09-291
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 Kentucky Senate race?
Jim Bunning (R) won, by about 0.6 points (R+0.6).
When was the 1998 Kentucky Senate election held?
It was held in November 1998.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.