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Toss-up · 1998 Senate
Kentucky Senate
In the 1998 Kentucky Senate race, Jim Bunning (R) won by less than a point.
Actual result
R+0.6
Final polls said
EVEN
4 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+1.0 | 1.6 | ✗ |
| 2 | Louisville Courier-Journal | D+1.0 | 1.6 | ✗ |
| 3 | TMR Research | D+5.0 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | R+7.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Baselice & Associates | R+8.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA1998-11-016
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-262
Louisville Courier-Journal1998-10-222
TMR Research1998-10-186
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-09-291
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 Kentucky Senate race?
Jim Bunning (R) won, by about 0.6 points (R+0.6).
When was the 1998 Kentucky Senate election held?
It was held in November 1998.