Actual result
D+41.0
Final polls said
D+40.5
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+41.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+40.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 1998-10-20 | 911 | D+40.0 | 1 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-10-16 | 821 | D+41.0 | 0 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-09-19 | 804 | D+50.0 | 9 |