Actual result
R+8.9
Final polls said
R+16.7
3 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | R+11.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+13.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Neighbor | R+26.0 | 17.1 | ✓ |
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neighbor | 1998-10-30 | 330 | R+26.0 | 17 |
| Zogby Analytics | 1998-10-29 | 600 | R+11.0 | 2 |
| SurveyUSA | 1998-10-26 | 500 | R+13.0 | 4 |