Actual result
R+35.1
Final polls said
R+47.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tulsa Surveys | R+47.0 | 11.9 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa Surveys | 1998-10-18 | 750 | R+47.0 | 12 |
| Tulsa Surveys | 1998-09-20 | 750 | R+58.0 | 23 |