Actual result
D+19.5
Final polls said
D+13.0
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+14.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+12.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
Polls (4)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-31 | 625 | D+12.0 | 8 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-23 | 500 | D+14.0 | 6 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-09 | 500 | D+16.0 | 4 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-04 | 625 | D+8.0 | 12 |