Actual result
D+14.9
Final polls said
D+12.0
4 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+14.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | McLaughlin & Associates | D+14.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Market Shares Corp. | D+16.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+12.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Indiana University Public Opinion Laboratory | D+22.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | SurveyUSA | D+6.0 | 8.9 | ✓ |
Polls (6)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 5591 | D+12.0 | 3 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-11-01 | 500 | D+6.0 | 9 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-30 | 723 | D+14.0 | 1 |
| Market Shares Corp. | 2000-10-27 | 600 | D+16.0 | 1 |
| Indiana University Public Opinion Laboratory | 2000-10-06 | 726 | D+22.0 | 7 |
| McLaughlin & Associates | 2000-09-24 | 600 | D+14.0 | 1 |