Actual result
D+12.5
Final polls said
D+8.0
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+9.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+7.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-26 | 1000 | D+7.0 | 6 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-19 | 628 | D+9.0 | 4 |