Actual result
D+18.7
Final polls said
D+19.3
4 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+15.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | EMC Research | D+24.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+13.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Elway Research | D+25.0 | 6.3 | ✓ |
Polls (7)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 6545 | D+13.0 | 6 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-31 | 500 | D+15.0 | 4 |
| EMC Research | 2000-10-21 | 500 | D+24.0 | 5 |
| Elway Research | 2000-10-19 | 400 | D+25.0 | 6 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-01 | 500 | D+22.0 | 3 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-09-20 | 500 | D+18.0 | 1 |
| Elway Research | 2000-09-19 | 400 | D+26.0 | 7 |