Actual result
D+2.9
Final polls said
D+5.0
3 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+4.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+5.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | West Virginia Research Center | R+3.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
Polls (4)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 1691 | D+4.0 | 1 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-11-02 | 1066 | D+5.0 | 2 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-18 | 1036 | D+6.0 | 3 |
| West Virginia Research Center | 2000-09-20 | 449 | R+3.0 | 6 |