VotePredictor
past elections

Indiana House

Baron P. Hill (D) vs Michael E. Bailey (R)

Actual result
D+10.4
Final polls said
D+14.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
Winner
Dem

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1SurveyUSAD+14.03.6

Polls (1)

PollsterDatenPollMiss
SurveyUSA2000-10-23500D+14.04