Actual result
R+7.5
Final polls said
R+18.8
4 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Research Group | R+16.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+17.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Capital Survey Research Center | R+18.0 | 10.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | University of South Alabama Polling Group | R+20.0 | 12.5 | ✓ |
Polls (6)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-11-02 | 625 | R+17.0 | 10 |
| University of South Alabama Polling Group | 2000-11-01 | 442 | R+20.0 | 13 |
| Capital Survey Research Center | 2000-10-19 | 580 | R+18.0 | 11 |
| University of South Alabama Polling Group | 2000-10-18 | 407 | R+20.0 | 13 |
| Capital Survey Research Center | 2000-09-17 | 510 | R+5.0 | 2 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | R+16.0 | 9 |