Actual result
D+17.5
Final polls said
D+11.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of Connecticut | D+16.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | American Research Group | D+16.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Quinnipiac University | D+19.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+11.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
Polls (5)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 2525 | D+11.0 | 6 |
| University of Connecticut | 2000-09-28 | 447 | D+16.0 | 1 |
| Quinnipiac University | 2000-09-15 | 939 | D+19.0 | 2 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 920 | D+16.0 | 1 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+16.0 | 1 |