Actual result
D+13.1
Final polls said
D+0.3
3 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Research Group | D+14.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Delaware Center for Political Communication | D+10.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | D+4.0 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+1.0 | 12.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+4.0 | 17.1 | ✗ |
Polls (7)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-31 | 625 | R+4.0 | 17 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-30 | 776 | D+1.0 | 12 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-23 | 500 | D+4.0 | 9 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-09 | 500 | D+13.0 | 0 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-04 | 633 | D+2.0 | 11 |
| University of Delaware Center for Political Communication | 2000-09-23 | 335 | D+10.0 | 3 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+14.0 | 1 |