Actual result
R+11.7
Final polls said
R+11.3
3 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+10.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+8.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+8.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Marketing Workshop | R+16.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | Schapiro Group | R+6.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | North Star Opinion Research | R+6.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | American Research Group | R+5.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
Polls (9)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 6987 | R+8.0 | 4 |
| Marketing Workshop | 2000-10-29 | 512 | R+16.0 | 4 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-22 | 1029 | R+10.0 | 2 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-13 | 627 | R+8.0 | 4 |
| Schapiro Group | 2000-10-06 | 500 | R+6.0 | 6 |
| Marketing Workshop | 2000-10-01 | 520 | R+16.0 | 4 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | R+5.0 | 7 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 1397 | R+1.0 | 11 |
| North Star Opinion Research | 2000-09-07 | 600 | R+6.0 | 6 |