Actual result
D+18.3
Final polls said
D+17.0
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ward Research | D+19.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+15.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | D+28.0 | 9.7 | ✓ |
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 589 | D+15.0 | 3 |
| Ward Research | 2000-10-21 | 261 | D+19.0 | 1 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+28.0 | 10 |