Actual result
R+39.5
Final polls said
R+34.0
3 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+38.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+38.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+26.0 | 13.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Research Group | R+22.0 | 17.5 | ✓ |
Polls (4)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 908 | R+38.0 | 2 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-25 | 633 | R+26.0 | 14 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-21 | 890 | R+38.0 | 2 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | R+22.0 | 18 |