Actual result
D+12.0
Final polls said
D+5.1
12 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Market Shares Corp. | D+10.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | American Research Group | D+10.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | EPIC-MRA | D+15.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Zogby Analytics | D+7.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+6.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Richard Day Research | D+5.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+4.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 8 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+3.0 | 9.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | KRC Research | D+2.0 | 10.0 | ✓ |
| 10 | Victory Research | D+1.0 | 11.0 | ✓ |
| 11 | Opinion Dynamics | R+3.0 | 15.0 | ✗ |
Polls (20)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-05 | 584 | D+7.0 | 5 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 8957 | D+6.0 | 6 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-02 | 600 | D+9.0 | 3 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-30 | 600 | D+4.0 | 8 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-29 | 625 | D+3.0 | 9 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-27 | 600 | D+7.0 | 5 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-27 | 600 | D+7.0 | 5 |
| Opinion Dynamics | 2000-10-25 | 600 | R+3.0 | 15 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-23 | 880 | D+4.0 | 8 |
| Richard Day Research | 2000-10-23 | 801 | D+5.0 | 7 |
| Market Shares Corp. | 2000-10-22 | 899 | D+10.0 | 2 |
| KRC Research | 2000-10-16 | 600 | D+2.0 | 10 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-13 | 622 | D+5.0 | 7 |
| Market Shares Corp. | 2000-10-08 | 900 | D+8.0 | 4 |
| Victory Research | 2000-10-08 | 800 | D+1.0 | 11 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-20 | 625 | D+5.0 | 7 |
| Market Shares Corp. | 2000-09-14 | 703 | D+12.0 | 0 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+10.0 | 2 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 1555 | D+11.0 | 1 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2000-09-10 | 400 | D+15.0 | 3 |