Actual result
R+15.6
Final polls said
R+21.8
4 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+17.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+17.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+19.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Indiana University Public Opinion Laboratory | R+12.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | American Research Group | R+9.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | Market Shares Corp. | R+23.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | SurveyUSA | R+28.0 | 12.4 | ✓ |
Polls (8)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 5599 | R+17.0 | 1 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-11-01 | 500 | R+28.0 | 12 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-30 | 723 | R+19.0 | 3 |
| Market Shares Corp. | 2000-10-27 | 600 | R+23.0 | 7 |
| Indiana University Public Opinion Laboratory | 2000-10-06 | 726 | R+12.0 | 4 |
| McLaughlin & Associates | 2000-09-24 | 600 | R+17.0 | 1 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 956 | R+6.0 | 10 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | R+9.0 | 7 |