Actual result
R+15.1
Final polls said
R+12.8
5 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magellan Strategies | R+15.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+18.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+12.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+10.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+9.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | American Research Group | D+6.0 | 21.1 | ✗ |
Polls (8)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 3318 | R+12.0 | 3 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-11-02 | 625 | R+10.0 | 5 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-11-01 | 500 | R+18.0 | 3 |
| Magellan Strategies | 2000-10-28 | 681 | R+15.0 | 0 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-21 | 944 | R+9.0 | 6 |
| Magellan Strategies | 2000-09-20 | 608 | R+10.0 | 5 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 978 | R+3.0 | 12 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+6.0 | 21 |