Actual result
R+7.7
Final polls said
R+10.3
4 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southeastern Louisiana University Social Science Research Center | R+8.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+7.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Southern Media & Opinion Research | R+6.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+13.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | University of New Orleans Survey Research Center | R+13.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | American Research Group | D+7.0 | 14.7 | ✗ |
Polls (6)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-21 | 624 | R+13.0 | 5 |
| Southeastern Louisiana University Social Science Research Center | 2000-10-21 | 660 | R+8.0 | 0 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-19 | 733 | R+7.0 | 1 |
| University of New Orleans Survey Research Center | 2000-10-19 | 461 | R+13.0 | 5 |
| Southern Media & Opinion Research | 2000-09-18 | 600 | R+6.0 | 2 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+7.0 | 15 |