Actual result
D+27.0
Final polls said
D+24.5
4 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+26.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | KRC Research | D+26.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | RKM Research and Communications Inc. | D+24.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Research Group | D+31.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science | D+22.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
Polls (6)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 5141 | D+26.0 | 1 |
| University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science | 2000-10-27 | 401 | D+22.0 | 5 |
| KRC Research | 2000-10-25 | 400 | D+26.0 | 1 |
| RKM Research and Communications Inc. | 2000-10-24 | 400 | D+24.0 | 3 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 902 | D+26.0 | 1 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+31.0 | 4 |