Actual result
D+16.3
Final polls said
D+11.4
5 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+17.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | D+14.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | D+19.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+11.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+8.0 | 8.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+7.0 | 9.3 | ✓ |
Polls (9)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 5230 | D+17.0 | 1 |
| Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | 2000-10-26 | 627 | D+14.0 | 2 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-26 | 696 | D+7.0 | 9 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-25 | 625 | D+8.0 | 8 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-21 | 500 | D+11.0 | 5 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-07 | 621 | D+11.0 | 5 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-09-30 | 500 | D+12.0 | 4 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 1039 | D+17.0 | 1 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+19.0 | 3 |