Actual result
D+5.1
Final polls said
D+4.0
6 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+8.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Myers Research & Strategic Services | D+8.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Market Decisions Research | D+1.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | RKM Research and Communications Inc. | EVEN | 5.1 | ✗ |
| 5 | Pan Atlantic Research | D+11.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+4.0 | 9.1 | ✗ |
| 7 | American Research Group | D+15.0 | 9.9 | ✓ |
| 8 | Digital Research | R+5.0 | 10.1 | ✗ |
Polls (10)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 1485 | D+8.0 | 3 |
| RKM Research and Communications Inc. | 2000-10-29 | 602 | EVEN | 5 |
| Market Decisions Research | 2000-10-24 | 824 | D+1.0 | 4 |
| Myers Research & Strategic Services | 2000-10-22 | 400 | D+8.0 | 3 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-22 | 1548 | R+4.0 | 9 |
| Pan Atlantic Research | 2000-10-22 | 400 | D+11.0 | 6 |
| Digital Research | 2000-10-14 | 404 | R+5.0 | 10 |
| Myers Research & Strategic Services | 2000-09-16 | 400 | D+10.0 | 5 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+15.0 | 10 |
| RKM Research and Communications Inc. | 2000-09-10 | 418 | D+11.0 | 6 |