Actual result
R+3.3
Final polls said
R+1.8
10 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+3.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+5.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Zogby Analytics | R+1.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+1.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | North Star Opinion Research | EVEN | 3.3 | ✗ |
| 6 | American Research Group | D+1.0 | 4.3 | ✗ |
Polls (13)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-05 | 597 | R+1.0 | 2 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 5833 | R+3.0 | 0 |
| American Research Group | 2000-11-02 | 600 | D+1.0 | 4 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-02 | 600 | R+2.0 | 1 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-30 | 600 | R+3.0 | 0 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-29 | 1243 | R+5.0 | 2 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-27 | 600 | R+2.0 | 1 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-24 | 603 | D+2.0 | 5 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-23 | 625 | R+1.0 | 2 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-23 | 1072 | R+4.0 | 1 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+3.0 | 6 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 938 | R+1.0 | 2 |
| North Star Opinion Research | 2000-09-12 | 500 | EVEN | 3 |