Actual result
R+25.1
Final polls said
R+19.3
3 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A&A Research | R+25.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+28.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Montana State University Billings | R+18.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Research Group | R+16.0 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+12.0 | 13.1 | ✓ |
Polls (6)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-23 | 628 | R+12.0 | 13 |
| Montana State University Billings | 2000-10-21 | 403 | R+18.0 | 7 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-19 | 968 | R+28.0 | 3 |
| A&A Research | 2000-10-14 | 402 | R+25.0 | 0 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-22 | 625 | R+11.0 | 14 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | R+16.0 | 9 |