Actual result
R+27.6
Final polls said
R+15.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Research Group | R+18.0 | 9.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+15.0 | 12.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Minnesota State University Moorhead Public Affairs Institute | R+11.9 | 15.7 | ✓ |
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-21 | 1258 | R+15.0 | 13 |
| Minnesota State University Moorhead Public Affairs Institute | 2000-10-04 | 586 | R+11.9 | 16 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | R+18.0 | 10 |