Actual result
R+29.0
Final polls said
R+22.0
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RKM Research and Communications Inc. | R+25.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Moore Information Group | R+24.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | R+21.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+19.0 | 10.0 | ✓ |
Polls (5)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 1481 | R+19.0 | 10 |
| RKM Research and Communications Inc. | 2000-10-26 | 1007 | R+25.0 | 4 |
| RKM Research and Communications Inc. | 2000-09-26 | 709 | R+17.0 | 12 |
| Moore Information Group | 2000-09-20 | 400 | R+24.0 | 5 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | R+21.0 | 8 |