Actual result
R+1.3
Final polls said
R+3.3
7 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RKM Research and Communications Inc. | D+1.0 | 2.3 | ✗ |
| 2 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+2.0 | 3.3 | ✗ |
| 3 | Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication | D+3.0 | 4.3 | ✗ |
| 4 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+6.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+8.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | American Research Group | R+10.0 | 8.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | University of Connecticut | D+10.0 | 11.3 | ✗ |
Polls (13)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 1400 | D+2.0 | 3 |
| University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 2000-11-03 | 801 | R+6.0 | 5 |
| American Research Group | 2000-11-02 | 600 | R+10.0 | 9 |
| American Research Group | 2000-10-31 | 600 | R+5.0 | 4 |
| RKM Research and Communications Inc. | 2000-10-30 | 487 | D+1.0 | 2 |
| Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication | 2000-10-24 | 885 | D+3.0 | 4 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-22 | 1338 | R+8.0 | 7 |
| University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 2000-10-09 | 709 | D+4.0 | 5 |
| American Research Group | 2000-10-07 | 600 | D+8.0 | 9 |
| Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication | 2000-10-03 | 626 | D+6.0 | 7 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-19 | 600 | R+5.0 | 4 |
| University of Connecticut | 2000-09-17 | 522 | D+10.0 | 11 |
| University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 2000-09-09 | 786 | EVEN | 1 |