Actual result
R+3.5
Final polls said
R+6.0
4 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+4.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+3.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | R+3.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | R+5.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+1.0 | 4.5 | ✗ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+12.0 | 8.4 | ✓ |
Polls (10)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 1835 | R+3.0 | 1 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-31 | 500 | R+5.0 | 1 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-27 | 625 | R+4.0 | 0 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-23 | 817 | R+12.0 | 8 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-08 | 500 | R+1.0 | 3 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-09-24 | 500 | D+5.0 | 9 |
| Public Opinion Strategies | 2000-09-20 | 600 | D+1.0 | 5 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | R+3.0 | 1 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 536 | D+5.0 | 9 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-11 | 627 | R+4.0 | 0 |