Actual result
R+21.9
Final polls said
R+18.5
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+22.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Consumer Logic | R+18.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+15.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates | R+11.0 | 10.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | American Research Group | R+10.0 | 11.9 | ✓ |
Polls (6)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 3206 | R+22.0 | 0 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-11-02 | 625 | R+15.0 | 7 |
| Consumer Logic | 2000-09-27 | 750 | R+18.0 | 4 |
| Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates | 2000-09-26 | 500 | R+11.0 | 11 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 992 | R+19.0 | 3 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | R+10.0 | 12 |