Actual result
D+0.4
Final polls said
R+2.5
6 late polls · ✗
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DHM Research | D+1.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | American Research Group | R+4.0 | 4.4 | ✗ |
| 3 | Riley Research Associates | R+4.0 | 4.4 | ✗ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+5.0 | 5.4 | ✗ |
| 5 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+7.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | SurveyUSA | R+8.0 | 8.4 | ✗ |
Polls (12)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 3376 | D+7.0 | 7 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-29 | 500 | R+8.0 | 8 |
| DHM Research | 2000-10-27 | 600 | D+1.0 | 1 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-25 | 500 | R+6.0 | 6 |
| American Research Group | 2000-10-22 | 600 | R+4.0 | 4 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-21 | 1352 | R+5.0 | 5 |
| American Research Group | 2000-10-14 | 600 | D+1.0 | 1 |
| Riley Research Associates | 2000-10-07 | 522 | R+4.0 | 4 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-09-27 | 500 | R+1.0 | 1 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+6.0 | 6 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 880 | D+5.0 | 5 |
| DHM Research | 2000-09-08 | 611 | D+1.0 | 1 |