Actual result
D+29.1
Final polls said
D+21.0
3 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+26.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | American Research Group | D+23.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+19.0 | 10.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Brown University A. Alfred Taubman Center for American Politics and Policy | D+18.0 | 11.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Fleming & Associates | D+15.0 | 14.1 | ✓ |
Polls (5)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-29 | 500 | D+26.0 | 3 |
| Brown University A. Alfred Taubman Center for American Politics and Policy | 2000-10-21 | 370 | D+18.0 | 11 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-19 | 802 | D+19.0 | 10 |
| Fleming & Associates | 2000-10-12 | 408 | D+15.0 | 14 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+23.0 | 6 |