Actual result
R+40.5
Final polls said
R+38.0
3 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+40.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+38.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Valley Research | R+36.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Dan Jones & Associates | R+32.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | American Research Group | R+28.0 | 12.5 | ✓ |
Polls (6)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valley Research | 2000-11-03 | 1300 | R+36.0 | 4 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 1641 | R+40.0 | 0 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-24 | 918 | R+38.0 | 2 |
| Dan Jones & Associates | 2000-10-11 | 914 | R+32.0 | 8 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-09-27 | 708 | R+38.0 | 2 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | R+28.0 | 12 |