Actual result
D+9.9
Final polls said
D+7.5
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+9.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+6.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | D+18.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-26 | 1000 | D+6.0 | 4 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-18 | 628 | D+9.0 | 1 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+18.0 | 8 |