Actual result
R+6.3
Final polls said
R+5.2
6 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+4.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+3.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | RMS Research | R+10.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Ohio State University | R+10.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | West Virginia Research Center | R+2.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | American Research Group | D+8.0 | 14.3 | ✗ |
Polls (8)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 1689 | R+4.0 | 2 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-11-02 | 1066 | R+3.0 | 3 |
| West Virginia Research Center | 2000-10-25 | 536 | R+2.0 | 4 |
| RMS Research | 2000-10-22 | 605 | R+10.0 | 4 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-18 | 1036 | R+2.0 | 4 |
| Ohio State University | 2000-10-17 | 645 | R+10.0 | 4 |
| West Virginia Research Center | 2000-09-22 | 449 | R+2.0 | 4 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+8.0 | 14 |