Actual result
R+40.9
Final polls said
R+28.5
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Research Group | R+32.0 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+25.0 | 15.9 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-16 | 412 | R+25.0 | 16 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | R+32.0 | 9 |