Actual result
D+11.8
Final polls said
D+1.3
3 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+3.0 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Delaware Center for Political Communication | D+3.0 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | D+1.0 | 10.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | EVEN | 11.8 | ✗ |
Polls (6)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-31 | 625 | EVEN | 12 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-30 | 776 | D+3.0 | 9 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-23 | 500 | D+1.0 | 11 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-09 | 500 | D+3.0 | 9 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-04 | 625 | R+3.0 | 15 |
| University of Delaware Center for Political Communication | 2000-09-23 | 335 | D+3.0 | 9 |