Actual result
R+34.7
Final polls said
R+52.5
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+46.0 | 11.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Indiana University Public Opinion Laboratory | R+48.0 | 13.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+55.0 | 20.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | Market Shares Corp. | R+59.0 | 24.3 | ✓ |
Polls (5)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 5592 | R+46.0 | 11 |
| Market Shares Corp. | 2000-10-27 | 600 | R+59.0 | 24 |
| Indiana University Public Opinion Laboratory | 2000-10-06 | 726 | R+48.0 | 13 |
| McLaughlin & Associates | 2000-09-24 | 600 | R+55.0 | 20 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 956 | R+43.0 | 8 |