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Toss-up · 2000 Senate
Maryland Senate
In the 2000 Maryland Senate race, Paul S. Sarbanes (D) won by about 26 points.
Actual result
D+26.4
Final polls said
D+26.8
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+25.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+29.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+20.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | D+33.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harris Insights & Analytics2000-11-031
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2000-10-266
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc.2000-10-267
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2000-10-253
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2000-10-073
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2000 Maryland Senate race?
Paul S. Sarbanes (D) won, by about 26.4 points (D+26.4).
When was the 2000 Maryland Senate election held?
It was held in November 2000.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.