Actual result
D+26.4
Final polls said
D+26.8
4 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+25.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+29.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+20.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | D+33.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
Polls (6)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 5198 | D+25.0 | 1 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-26 | 696 | D+20.0 | 6 |
| Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | 2000-10-26 | 627 | D+33.0 | 7 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-25 | 625 | D+29.0 | 3 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-07 | 625 | D+29.0 | 3 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 1039 | D+23.0 | 3 |