Actual result
R+37.9
Final polls said
R+45.0
4 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+39.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+42.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Market Decisions Research | R+45.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | RKM Research and Communications Inc. | R+51.0 | 13.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Pan Atlantic Research | R+54.0 | 16.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Digital Research | R+56.0 | 18.1 | ✓ |
Polls (7)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 1473 | R+42.0 | 4 |
| Market Decisions Research | 2000-10-24 | 824 | R+45.0 | 7 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-22 | 1548 | R+39.0 | 1 |
| Pan Atlantic Research | 2000-10-22 | 400 | R+54.0 | 16 |
| Digital Research | 2000-10-14 | 404 | R+56.0 | 18 |
| Pan Atlantic Research | 2000-09-17 | 400 | R+53.0 | 15 |
| RKM Research and Communications Inc. | 2000-09-10 | 418 | R+51.0 | 13 |