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Toss-up · 2000 Senate
Missouri Senate
In the 2000 Missouri Senate race, Mel Carnahan (D) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
D+2.1
Final polls said
D+1.4
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+2.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | EVEN | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 3 | Harris Insights & Analytics | EVEN | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | EVEN | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 5 | North Star Opinion Research | R+5.0 | 7.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
12 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2000-11-052
Harris Insights & Analytics2000-11-032
Zogby Analytics2000-11-021
Zogby Analytics2000-10-300
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2000-10-290
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2000 Missouri Senate race?
Mel Carnahan (D) won, by about 2.1 points (D+2.1).
When was the 2000 Missouri Senate election held?
It was held in November 2000.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.