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Toss-up · 2000 Senate
Missouri Senate
In the 2000 Missouri Senate race, Mel Carnahan (D) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
D+2.1
Final polls said
D+1.4
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+2.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | EVEN | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 3 | Harris Insights & Analytics | EVEN | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | EVEN | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 5 | North Star Opinion Research | R+5.0 | 7.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
12 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2000-11-052
Harris Insights & Analytics2000-11-032
Zogby Analytics2000-11-021
Zogby Analytics2000-10-300
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2000-10-290
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2000 Missouri Senate race?
Mel Carnahan (D) won, by about 2.1 points (D+2.1).
When was the 2000 Missouri Senate election held?
It was held in November 2000.