Actual result
D+2.1
Final polls said
D+1.4
9 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+2.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | EVEN | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 3 | Harris Insights & Analytics | EVEN | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | EVEN | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 5 | North Star Opinion Research | R+5.0 | 7.1 | ✗ |
Polls (12)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-05 | 597 | EVEN | 2 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 5833 | EVEN | 2 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-02 | 600 | D+3.0 | 1 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-30 | 600 | D+2.0 | 0 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-29 | 1243 | D+2.0 | 0 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-27 | 600 | D+7.0 | 5 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-24 | 603 | D+2.0 | 0 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-23 | 625 | EVEN | 2 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-23 | 1072 | R+3.0 | 5 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-09-15 | 600 | R+2.0 | 4 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 938 | EVEN | 2 |
| North Star Opinion Research | 2000-09-12 | 500 | R+5.0 | 7 |