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Toss-up · 2000 Senate
Montana Senate
In the 2000 Montana Senate race, Conrad Burns (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+3.3
Final polls said
R+3.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+1.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | A&A Research | R+8.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Montana State University Billings | D+2.0 | 5.3 | ✗ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+10.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2000-10-232
Montana State University Billings2000-10-215
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2000-10-197
A&A Research2000-10-145
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2000-09-226
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2000 Montana Senate race?
Conrad Burns (R) won, by about 3.3 points (R+3.3).
When was the 2000 Montana Senate election held?
It was held in November 2000.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.