Actual result
D+2.2
Final polls said
D+9.5
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moore Information Group | R+2.0 | 4.2 | ✗ |
| 2 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+7.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | RKM Research and Communications Inc. | D+12.0 | 9.8 | ✓ |
Polls (5)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 1477 | D+7.0 | 5 |
| RKM Research and Communications Inc. | 2000-10-26 | 1007 | D+12.0 | 10 |
| Moore Information Group | 2000-10-11 | 450 | R+2.0 | 4 |
| Moore Information Group | 2000-09-20 | 400 | R+1.0 | 3 |
| RKM Research and Communications Inc. | 2000-09-13 | 679 | D+20.0 | 18 |